Phillies at Tigers
Last play · Bryson Stott flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Tigers100%
PHI 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 4 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Tigers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Ibáñez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Jake Rogers scores. Ryan Kreidler scores. Andy Ibáñez to 2nd. (inning 5) — +17% Tigers
9Bryce Harper homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
5Riley Greene triples (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Andy Ibáñez scores.0–4
5Andy Ibáñez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Jake Rogers scores. Ryan Kreidler scores. Andy Ibáñez to 2nd.0–3
5Matt Vierling grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores. Jake Rogers to 3rd. Ryan Kreidler to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














