Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Austin Hedges grounds out, shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Gio Urshela.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CLE 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 4 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to right-center field. Bo Naylor scores. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 3) — -23% Guardians
9Andrés Giménez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Josh Naylor scores. Gabriel Arias to 3rd.4–5
8Andy Ibáñez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.3–5
4Daniel Schneemann homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
3Matt Vierling homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Colt Keith scores.2–4
3Angel Martínez hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to right-center field. Bo Naylor scores. Steven Kwan scores.2–2
1Matt Vierling out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Daniel Schneemann. Colt Keith scores.0–2
1Colt Keith triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Wenceel Pérez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














