Guardians at Tigers
Last play · David Fry flies out to left fielder Zach McKinstry in foul territory.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CLE 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 6 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith walks. Gio Urshela scores. Javier Báez to 3rd. Wenceel Pérez to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Tigers
6Gio Urshela doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Riley Greene scores. Carson Kelly scores. Zach McKinstry scores.1–10
6Zach McKinstry walks. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd.1–7
4Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Colt Keith scores. Matt Vierling scores. Riley Greene to 2nd.1–6
3Carson Kelly homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
3Bo Naylor homers (6) on a line drive to right field.1–3
2Guardians challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Matt Vierling singles on a ground ball to third baseman Daniel Schneemann. Javier Báez scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.0–3
2Colt Keith walks. Gio Urshela scores. Javier Báez to 3rd. Wenceel Pérez to 2nd.0–2
1Riley Greene singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Wenceel Pérez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














