Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Justyn-Henry Malloy lines out to center fielder Tyler Freeman.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 6 – 3 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gio Urshela homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Colt Keith scores. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 6) — +34% Tigers
10Carson Kelly out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Daniel Schneemann. Colt Keith scores.9–8
10Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.9–7
10Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Bo Naylor scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.8–7
6Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.7–7
6Gio Urshela homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Colt Keith scores. Carson Kelly scores.7–6
6Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Colt Keith to first baseman Gio Urshela. Austin Hedges scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.7–3
4Wenceel Pérez grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Josh Naylor. Gio Urshela scores.6–3
3Colt Keith homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














