Twins at Tigers
Last play · Justyn-Henry Malloy called out on strikes.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIN 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 6 – 2 DET
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Javier Báez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 3) — +23% Tigers
9Brooks Lee walks. Max Kepler scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Matt Wallner to 2nd.9–3
8Bligh Madris singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton, deflected by second baseman Willi Castro. Mark Canha scores. Matt Vierling to 3rd.8–3
6Christian Vázquez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Brooks Lee scores.8–2
4Byron Buxton doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Mark Canha. Willi Castro scores.6–2
4Willi Castro singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mark Canha. Matt Wallner scores. Christian Vázquez scores. Willi Castro to 3rd. Willi Castro advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Colt Keith.5–2
3Javier Báez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Carson Kelly scores.3–2
2Matt Wallner homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
1Trevor Larnach homers (11) on a line drive to right center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














