Twins at Tigers
Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Bligh Madris.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIN 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 DET
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 25.8% · hold 7.8%
Run line
-4.5
Moneyline
reference+3000 / -20000
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Royce Lewis homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Manuel Margot scores. (inning 1) — -22% Twins
7Colt Keith homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores.2–7
7Javier Báez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Bligh Madris scores.2–5
6Mark Canha out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Colt Keith scores.2–3
6Colt Keith triples (3) on a ground ball to second baseman Willi Castro. Matt Vierling scores.2–2
1Mark Canha singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Matt Vierling scores.2–1
1Royce Lewis homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Manuel Margot scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














