Royals at Tigers
Last play · Jake Rogers grounds into a force out, third baseman Paul DeJong to second baseman Maikel Garcia. Justyn-Henry Malloy out at 2nd.
Win probability
Tigers0%
KC 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 2 DET
Royals led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.2% · hold 3.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Tigers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Dairon Blanco scores. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd. (inning 7) — -22% Royals
7Paul DeJong singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Hunter Renfroe scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Garrett Hampson to 2nd.9–2
7Freddy Fermin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Salvador Perez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 2nd.8–2
7Salvador Perez doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.7–2
7Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Dairon Blanco scores. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.5–2
4Paul DeJong out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Hunter Renfroe scores.3–2
4Royals challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Hunter Renfroe doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Salvador Perez scores.2–2
2Salvador Perez homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Vierling scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
