Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Wenceel Pérez grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 0 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor homers (23) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — -14% Guardians
9Brayan Rocchio homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.5–0
8José Ramírez homers (27) on a fly ball to right field. Lane Thomas scores.4–0
5Daniel Schneemann doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Tyler Freeman scores.2–0
4Josh Naylor homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
