Royals at Tigers
Last play · Colt Keith lines into a double play, third baseman Adam Frazier to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Wenceel Pérez out at 1st.
Win probability
Tigers0%
KC 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Tigers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · MJ Melendez homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Hunter Renfroe scores. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 9) — -78% Royals
9MJ Melendez homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Hunter Renfroe scores. Kyle Isbel scores.3–2
5Matt Vierling out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Javier Báez scores.0–2
2Gio Urshela singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dairon Blanco. Zach McKinstry scores. Dillon Dingler to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
