Mariners at Tigers
Last play · Akil Baddoo doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Robles. Parker Meadows scores. Justyn-Henry Malloy to 3rd.
Win probability
Tigers100%
SEA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 0 DET
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Tigers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores. (inning 8) — +45% Tigers
10Akil Baddoo doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Robles. Parker Meadows scores. Justyn-Henry Malloy to 3rd.2–3
8Kerry Carpenter homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores.2–2
8Julio Rodríguez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Justyn-Henry Malloy. Victor Robles scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.2–0
5Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to left fielder Justyn-Henry Malloy. Dylan Moore scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
