Mariners at Tigers
Last play · Mitch Haniger pops out to first baseman Bligh Madris in foul territory.
Win probability
Tigers100%
SEA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 11 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Tigers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — +12% Tigers
6Javier Báez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Zach McKinstry scores.1–15
6Jake Rogers doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Robles. Parker Meadows scores. Jake Rogers out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Victor Robles to shortstop Leo Rivas to third baseman Josh Rojas.1–13
6Gio Urshela homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–12
4Jake Rogers hits a grand slam (9) to right field. Colt Keith scores. Gio Urshela scores. Bligh Madris scores.1–11
4Kerry Carpenter homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Vierling scores.1–7
4Mitch Haniger singles on a ground ball to center fielder Parker Meadows. Justin Turner scores.1–5
3Jake Rogers doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Gio Urshela scores. Bligh Madris scores.0–5
3Bligh Madris singles on a ground ball to second baseman Dylan Moore. Colt Keith scores. Gio Urshela to 2nd.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
