Red Sox at Tigers
Last play · Jace Jung strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
BOS 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 0 DET
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Sogard scores. (inning 10) — -44% Red Sox
10Kerry Carpenter grounds out, second baseman Mickey Gasper to first baseman Triston Casas. Riley Greene scores.7–5
10Jarren Duran homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.7–4
10Ceddanne Rafaela homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Sogard scores.6–4
9Jake Rogers doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Zach McKinstry scores.4–4
8Kerry Carpenter homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Andy Ibáñez scores. Matt Vierling scores.4–3
6Connor Wong homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
4Connor Wong doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Tyler O'Neill scores.3–0
3Wilyer Abreu out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Parker Meadows. Romy Gonzalez scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
