Mariners at Astros
Last play · Jose Altuve flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.
Win probability
Astros0%
SEA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 0 HOU
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jon Singleton homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 7) — +44% Astros
9Cal Raleigh homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.5–4
8Luis Urías singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Dylan Moore scores. Luis Urías to 2nd.4–4
7Jon Singleton homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jeremy Peña scores.3–4
6Kyle Tucker homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Altuve scores.3–2
6Luke Raley homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
2Josh Rojas singles on a line drive to left fielder Trey Cabbage. Luke Raley scores. Dylan Moore to 3rd. Luis Urías to 2nd.2–0
2Luis Urías walks. Mitch Garver scores. Luke Raley to 3rd. Dylan Moore to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








