Mariners at Astros
Last play · Alex Bregman lines out to right fielder Mitch Haniger.
Win probability
Astros0%
SEA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 0 HOU
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Urías homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — -16% Mariners
6Cal Raleigh homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Ty France scores.5–0
5Luis Urías homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
4Mitch Garver doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jorge Polanco scores.2–0
2Cal Raleigh grounds into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Jon Singleton. Ty France scores. Mitch Haniger out at 2nd. Cal Raleigh out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








