Brewers at Astros
Last play · William Contreras strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Astros favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 1) — +17% Astros
7Kyle Tucker homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Victor Caratini scores. Jose Altuve scores.4–9
7Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Blake Perkins scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.4–6
7Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick scores. Blake Perkins to 2nd.3–6
6Kyle Tucker homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–6
5Jon Singleton singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Yordan Alvarez scores. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.1–5
1Jake Meyers doubles (5) on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Alex Bregman scores. Jeremy Peña scores.1–4
1Jon Singleton grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers. Yordan Alvarez scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.1–2
1Jose Altuve homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
