Angels at Astros
Last play · Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Kevin Pillar.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 8 – 6 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -200
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan O'Hoppe homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Taylor Ward scores. Kevin Pillar scores. (inning 5) — -41% Angels
9Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Mauricio Dubón scores.9–7
6Zach Neto homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.9–6
5Jo Adell homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.8–6
5Logan O'Hoppe homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Taylor Ward scores. Kevin Pillar scores.7–6
5Nolan Schanuel homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Willie Calhoun scores. Zach Neto scores.4–6
4Mauricio Dubón homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Yainer Diaz scores.1–6
2Jose Altuve homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Yainer Diaz scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.1–4
2Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kevin Pillar. Jeremy Peña scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
