Brewers at Astros
Last play · Owen Miller strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Astros favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 5) — +45% Astros
5Jeremy Peña homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores. Jose Altuve scores.4–5
4Joey Ortiz homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Bauers scores. Sal Frelick scores.4–2
2Jake Meyers homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Jon Singleton scores.1–2
2Jake Bauers homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
