Angels at Astros
Last play · Jake Meyers grounds out, shortstop Kyren Paris to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 1 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -200
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyren Paris homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. Mickey Moniak scores. (inning 5) — -27% Angels
5Mauricio Dubón doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jake Meyers scores. Mauricio Dubón out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Taylor Ward to shortstop Zach Neto to catcher Matt Thaiss to third baseman Luis Rengifo.2–1
5Kyren Paris homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. Mickey Moniak scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
