Twins at Astros
Last play · Jon Singleton flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
Win probability
Astros0%
MIN 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 3 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Miranda doubles (9) on a line drive to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Manuel Margot scores. (inning 8) — -26% Twins
8Jose Miranda doubles (9) on a line drive to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Manuel Margot scores.4–3
6Jose Miranda homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
3Alex Bregman homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Tucker scores.2–3
2Victor Caratini homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
2Alex Kirilloff doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Chas McCormick. Willi Castro scores.2–0
1Trevor Larnach homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
