Tigers at Astros
Last play · Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Andy Ibáñez.
Win probability
Astros0%
DET 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 10 – 0 HOU
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wenceel Pérez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mauricio Dubón. Zach McKinstry scores. Akil Baddoo scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. (inning 2) — -15% Tigers
9Colt Keith homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.13–5
8Riley Greene walks. Carson Kelly scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd. Ryan Kreidler to 2nd.12–5
7Chas McCormick homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Trey Cabbage scores. Alex Bregman scores.11–5
7Trey Cabbage doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. César Salazar scores.11–2
7César Salazar doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Yainer Diaz scores.11–1
6Carson Kelly homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.11–0
3Mark Canha singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mauricio Dubón. Matt Vierling scores. Riley Greene out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Mauricio Dubón to third baseman Alex Bregman.10–0
3Riley Greene singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Wenceel Pérez scores. Matt Vierling to 3rd.9–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














