Tigers at Astros
Last play · Mark Canha called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
DET 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 0 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 6) — +19% Astros
6Mauricio Dubón homers (3) on a line drive to left field. Yainer Diaz scores.0–4
6Yordan Alvarez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Alex Bregman scores.0–2
6Alex Bregman triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Jose Altuve scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














