Tigers at Astros
Last play · Jake Rogers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
DET 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 4 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jose Altuve homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick scores. (inning 2) — +21% Astros
9Andy Ibáñez doubles (6) on a fly ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Mark Canha scores.1–4
2Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jose Altuve homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick scores.0–4
1Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Jose Altuve scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














