Last play · Gunnar Henderson flies out to third baseman Alex Bregman.
Win probability
Astros100%
BAL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BAL 3 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-155 / +130
Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Meyers homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz scores. (inning 5) — +40% Astros
8Anthony Santander homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan Mountcastle scores.11–14
8Ryan Mountcastle doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Adley Rutschman scores.9–14
8Gunnar Henderson homers (24) on a line drive to left field. James McCann scores.8–14
8Jorge Mateo homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Cedric Mullins scores.6–14
7Gunnar Henderson homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.4–14
6Joey Loperfido doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jon Singleton scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–14
6Mauricio Dubón doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Yainer Diaz scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd.3–12
6Jon Singleton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Alex Bregman scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd.3–11
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
BAL11–
HOU14