Rockies at Astros
Last play · Michael Toglia grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Mauricio Dubón.
Win probability
Astros100%
COL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -195
Astros favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake Cave. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd. (inning 4) — +13% Astros
8Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Mauricio Dubón scores.1–7
8Brenton Doyle out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Nolan Jones scores. Jake Cave to 3rd.1–6
7Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Alex Bregman scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.0–6
7Alex Bregman grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Brendan Rodgers. Joey Loperfido scores. Jose Altuve out at 2nd. Alex Bregman to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Brendan Rodgers.0–5
7Jose Altuve reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Jeremy Peña scores. Joey Loperfido to 2nd.0–4
7César Salazar out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Mauricio Dubón scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.0–3
5Jose Altuve singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nolan Jones. César Salazar scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.0–2
4Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake Cave. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














