Orioles at Astros
Last play · Colton Cowser pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman.
Win probability
Astros100%
BAL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — +13% Astros
8Yainer Diaz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jose Altuve scores.1–8
6Jeremy Peña doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz scores.1–7
6Jordan Westburg homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
4Yainer Diaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. César Salazar scores.0–5
1Mauricio Dubón singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Jeremy Peña scores.0–4
1Jeremy Peña doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Yainer Diaz scores.0–3
1Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Alex Bregman scores.0–2
1Jose Altuve homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














