Rangers at Astros
Last play · Robbie Grossman pops out to first baseman Jon Singleton in foul territory.
Win probability
Astros100%
TEX 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 3 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 6) — -22% Rangers
7Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to right fielder Chas McCormick. Travis Jankowski scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd.3–6
6Jose Altuve homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick scores.2–6
6Corey Seager homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Marcus Semien scores.2–3
5Alex Bregman homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
4Jake Meyers homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
3Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Corey Seager. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














