Marlins at Astros
Last play · Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 6 HOU
Astros led after 5
Astros favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jon Singleton out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nick Gordon. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. (inning 1) — +14% Astros
5Joey Loperfido out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nick Gordon. Jon Singleton scores.3–6
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.3–5
4Alex Bregman grounds into a force out, third baseman Jake Burger to second baseman Vidal Bruján. Jake Meyers scores. César Salazar to 3rd. Jose Altuve out at 2nd. Alex Bregman to 1st.2–5
4Jake Meyers doubles (14) on a fly ball to center fielder Nick Gordon. Joey Loperfido scores.2–4
2César Salazar grounds out to first baseman Josh Bell. Trey Cabbage scores.2–3
2Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Xavier Edwards scores.2–2
1Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Yainer Diaz scores.1–2
1Jon Singleton out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nick Gordon. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














