Marlins at Astros
Last play · Nick Gordon strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 6 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Astros favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Loperfido homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake Meyers scores. (inning 2) — +12% Astros
6Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alex Bregman scores. Trey Cabbage scores.1–9
6Trey Cabbage doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jose Altuve scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.1–7
5Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Emmanuel Rivera scores. Jonah Bride to 2nd.1–6
4Alex Bregman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Declan Cronin. Joey Loperfido scores.0–6
2Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alex Bregman scores.0–5
2Joey Loperfido homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake Meyers scores.0–4
2Jake Meyers doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz, deflected by center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jon Singleton scores.0–2
1Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez out at home on the throw, right fielder Dane Myers to catcher Ali Sánchez.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














