Rays at Astros
Last play · Jon Singleton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
TB 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 HOU
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Astros favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Pedro León. Dylan Carlson scores. (inning 3) — -14% Rays
3Brandon Lowe doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Pedro León. Dylan Carlson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
