Rays at Astros
Last play · Kameron Misner flies out to left fielder Yordan Alvarez.
Win probability
Astros100%
TB 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 2 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Astros favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Yandy Díaz scores. (inning 1) — -22% Rays
7Yainer Diaz doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Jonny DeLuca. Yordan Alvarez scores. Fielding error by second baseman Christopher Morel.2–3
4Jake Meyers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jeremy Peña scores.2–2
4Jon Singleton singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Yainer Diaz scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.2–1
1Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Yandy Díaz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
