Red Sox at Astros
Last play · Trey Cabbage strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Astros0%
BOS 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 1 HOU
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 40.6% · hold 7.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Astros favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman homers (20) on a line drive to left field. (inning 1) — +17% Astros
9David Hamilton homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
7Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Masataka Yoshida scores.3–1
2Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (18) on a fly ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Connor Wong scores.2–1
1Alex Bregman homers (20) on a line drive to left field.1–1
1Triston Casas singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Jarren Duran scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
