Royals at Astros
Last play · Adam Frazier grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Zach Dezenzo.
Win probability
Astros100%
KC 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 0 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Ben Gamel scores. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd. (inning 6) — +31% Astros
8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (29) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
7Nick Loftin grounds into a force out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve. Freddy Fermin scores. MJ Melendez out at 2nd. Nick Loftin to 1st.1–5
6Jake Meyers grounds out, third baseman Paul DeJong to first baseman Nick Loftin.0–5
6Jeremy Peña triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Yordan Alvarez scores. Yainer Diaz scores.0–4
6Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Ben Gamel scores. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
