Rangers at Royals
Last play · Andrew Knizner grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
Royals100%
TEX 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Dairon Blanco scores. (inning 7) — +21% Royals
7Salvador Perez homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.1–7
7Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.1–4
7Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Kyle Isbel scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.1–3
7Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Dairon Blanco scores.1–2
5Hunter Renfroe homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
3Corey Seager singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Marcus Semien scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








