Brewers at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Royals0%
MIL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Royals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. William Contreras scores. Gary Sánchez scores. (inning 9) — -78% Brewers
9Willy Adames homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. William Contreras scores. Gary Sánchez scores.6–5
7Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–5
7Andruw Monasterio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Blake Perkins scores.3–4
5Salvador Perez doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.2–4
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Kyle Isbel scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.2–3
5Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. MJ Melendez scores.2–1
2Joey Ortiz homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
2Rhys Hoskins homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








