Rangers at Royals
Last play · Nelson Velázquez lines out to right fielder Adolis García.
Win probability
Royals0%
TEX 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Royals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — -38% Rangers
10Nathaniel Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Leody Taveras scores. Corey Seager to 2nd.3–2
9Jonah Heim homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
8Corey Seager out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Leody Taveras scores.1–2
3Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Evan Carter. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–2
1Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








