Brewers at Royals
Last play · Christian Yelich grounds out softly, pitcher James McArthur to first baseman Garrett Hampson.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +17% Royals
9William Contreras grounds out to first baseman Garrett Hampson. Oliver Dunn scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.4–6
9Brice Turang doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Gary Sánchez scores. Oliver Dunn to 3rd.3–6
8Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Hunter Renfroe scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Garrett Hampson to 2nd.2–6
8Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Dairon Blanco scores. Hunter Renfroe to 2nd.2–5
8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
7Gary Sánchez homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
6Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–3
1Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








