Tigers at Royals
Last play · Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
DET 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 8 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Isbel scores. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 2) — +15% Royals
7Hunter Renfroe homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–10
6Bobby Witt Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.3–9
4Colt Keith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Matt Vierling scores.3–8
4Matt Vierling triples (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Mark Canha scores. Wenceel Pérez scores.2–8
3Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Maikel Garcia scores.0–8
3Maikel Garcia triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Hunter Renfroe scores.0–7
2Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.0–6
2Bobby Witt Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Isbel scores. Maikel Garcia scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
