Tigers at Royals
Last play · Jake Rogers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
DET 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
51
opened 51
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-3
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — +21% Royals
8Kerry Carpenter out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Riley Greene scores. Mark Canha to 3rd.3–8
7Colt Keith doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Kerry Carpenter scores.2–8
6Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Kyle Isbel scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.1–8
6Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Hunter Renfroe scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.1–7
6Hunter Renfroe doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Freddy Fermin scores. MJ Melendez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd.1–6
6Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Michael Massey scores.1–4
6Salvador Perez homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
4Kerry Carpenter homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
