Padres at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Royals0%
SD 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 5 – 3 KC
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Royals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ha-Seong Kim doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dairon Blanco. Manny Machado scores. Donovan Solano scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 4) — -38% Padres
9Jurickson Profar out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dairon Blanco. Luis Arraez scores.7–3
9Kyle Higashioka homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.6–3
4Ha-Seong Kim doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dairon Blanco. Manny Machado scores. Donovan Solano scores. Jackson Merrill scores.5–3
3Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Dairon Blanco scores.2–3
3Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder MJ Melendez. Ha-Seong Kim scores.2–2
1Vinnie Pasquantino homers (7) on a line drive to right center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–2
1Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
