Tigers at Royals
Last play · Riley Greene grounds out sharply to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
DET 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 43.8% · hold 3.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — +11% Royals
8Javier Báez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Gio Urshela scores. Colt Keith to 3rd.3–8
7Freddy Fermin singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Riley Greene. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Salvador Perez scores. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.2–8
7Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Adam Frazier scores. Maikel Garcia scores.2–6
7Andy Ibáñez doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Colt Keith scores. Jake Rogers scores.2–4
5Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to right fielder Mark Canha. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.0–4
4Nelson Velázquez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
2Garrett Hampson doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Freddy Fermin scores.0–2
2Freddy Fermin doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Nelson Velázquez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
