Mariners at Royals
Last play · Ryan Bliss grounds out softly, pitcher James McArthur to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
SEA 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 5 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Royals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (18) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 5) — +25% Royals
8Kyle Isbel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Dairon Blanco scores. Nick Loftin to 2nd.4–8
6Kyle Isbel doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Moore. Nelson Velázquez scores. Nick Loftin scores.4–7
6Dylan Moore out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adam Frazier. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.4–5
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (18) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia scores.3–5
5Nick Loftin singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Adam Frazier scores.3–3
5J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Dominic Canzone scores. Ryan Bliss to 3rd.3–2
5Mitch Garver homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
2Adam Frazier homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














