Yankees at Royals
Last play · Maikel Garcia doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. MJ Melendez scores. Kyle Isbel scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
NYY 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-170 / +145
Royals favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. MJ Melendez scores. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 9) — +55% Royals
9Maikel Garcia doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. MJ Melendez scores. Kyle Isbel scores.3–4
8Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Drew Waters. Trent Grisham scores. Juan Soto out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Drew Waters to catcher Freddy Fermin to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.3–2
8Anthony Volpe grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Jahmai Jones scores. Trent Grisham to 2nd.2–2
8Anthony Rizzo homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
4Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (19) on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














