Marlins at Royals
Last play · Vidal Bruján grounds out, pitcher James McArthur to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIA 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 3 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Royals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +20% Royals
6Hunter Renfroe homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
4Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. , deflected by shortstop Tim Anderson. Michael Massey scores. MJ Melendez to 3rd.1–3
4Salvador Perez homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
4Vinnie Pasquantino homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Bryan De La Cruz doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














