Mariners at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Ryan Bliss to first baseman Tyler Locklear.
Win probability
Royals0%
SEA 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
4.5
opened 4.5
fair over 43.7% · hold 6.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-2500 / +1000
Royals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · MJ Melendez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Loftin scores. (inning 9) — +49% Royals
10Hunter Renfroe homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddy Fermin scores.6–5
10Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Dylan Moore scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd.6–3
10Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Josh Rojas scores. Dylan Moore to 2nd.4–3
9MJ Melendez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Loftin scores.3–3
7Josh Rojas singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Tyler Locklear scores.3–1
7Tyler Locklear doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Mitch Haniger scores.2–1
5Kyle Isbel out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Tyler Locklear to second baseman Ryan Bliss. Freddy Fermin scores. Hunter Renfroe to 2nd.1–1
1J.P. Crawford homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














