Marlins at Royals
Last play · Garrett Hampson grounds out to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Royals0%
MIA 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 1 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Royals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gordon singles on a ground ball to second baseman Maikel Garcia. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 7) — -21% Marlins
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to pitcher Will Smith. Nick Gordon scores. Ali Sánchez to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Will Smith.2–1
7Nick Gordon singles on a ground ball to second baseman Maikel Garcia. Otto Lopez scores.1–1
1Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Maikel Garcia scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














