Guardians at Royals
Last play · Brayan Rocchio strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 7 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — +20% Royals
8Vinnie Pasquantino homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–10
8Daniel Schneemann out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Austin Hedges scores.3–7
7Tyler Freeman grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Josh Naylor scores.2–7
5Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Hunter Renfroe scores. MJ Melendez to 3rd. Nick Loftin to 2nd.1–7
4Kyle Isbel homers (6) on a line drive to right center field.1–6
3MJ Melendez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Hunter Renfroe to 2nd.1–5
3Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.1–4
3Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daniel Schneemann. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














