Marlins at Royals
Last play · Jake Burger grounds out, pitcher James McArthur to second baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIA 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 0 KC
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Royals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 8) — +32% Royals
8Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Nick Loftin scores. MJ Melendez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd.1–5
8Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Salvador Perez scores.1–3
8Salvador Perez doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Dairon Blanco scores.1–2
8Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–1
2Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Vidal Bruján scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














