Guardians at Royals
Last play · Tyler Freeman grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Salvador Perez. Bo Naylor out at 2nd. Tyler Freeman out at 1st.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Hampson doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 2) — +10% Royals
8Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Hampson. José Ramírez scores.2–6
8José Ramírez doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Dairon Blanco. Daniel Schneemann scores.1–6
7Salvador Perez homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.0–6
5Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–4
5Bobby Witt Jr. triples (9) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Dairon Blanco scores.0–3
2Garrett Hampson doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Freddy Fermin scores.0–2
1Royals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Royals challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Salvador Perez grounds into a force out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Andrés Giménez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino out at 2nd. Salvador Perez to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














