Guardians at Royals
Last play · Steven Kwan grounds out, pitcher James McArthur to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 0 KC
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 6) — +19% Royals
6Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Maikel Garcia scores.1–2
6Maikel Garcia triples (4) on a line drive to right fielder Daniel Schneemann. Kyle Isbel scores.1–1
5Daniel Schneemann out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Tyler Freeman scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














