Rays at Royals
Last play · Isaac Paredes grounds out softly, pitcher James McArthur to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
TB 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 3) — +15% Royals
8Amed Rosario doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Randy Arozarena scores.2–4
7Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–4
3Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–2
3Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Kyle Isbel scores.1–1
1Isaac Paredes homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














